Publications
For the most complete and current list, see my Google Scholar profile or download my CV.
Books



Peer-Reviewed Articles
- The Unconstrained Future of World Order: The Assault on Democratic Constraint and Implications for US Global Leadership, with Elizabeth N. Saunders. International Organization 79:S1 (2025): S71–S87.
- Promoting Democracy Under Electoral Authoritarianism: Evidence from Cambodia, with Oren Samet and Emily Lamb. Comparative Political Studies 56:7 (2023): 1029–1071.
- The Forum: Global Challenges to Democracy? Perspectives on Democratic Backsliding, with Larry M. Bartels, Ursula E. Daxecker, Staffan I. Lindberg, and Irfan Nooruddin. International Studies Review 25:2 (2023).
- Democracy's Backsliding in the International Environment. Science 369:6508 (2020): 1192–1196.
- Recapturing Regime Type in International Relations: Leaders, Institutions, and Agency Space, with Elizabeth N. Saunders. International Organization 74:2 (2020): 363–395.
- Voter Information Campaigns and Political Accountability: Cumulative Findings from a Preregistered Meta-Analysis of Coordinated Trials, with Thad Dunning, Guy Grossman, Macartan Humphreys, Craig McIntosh, Gareth Nellis, et al. Science Advances 5:7 (2019).
- The Elusive Sources of Legitimacy Beliefs: Civil Society Views of International Election Observers, with Daniel L. Nielson and Judith Kelley. The Review of International Organizations 14:4 (2019): 685–715.
- Surviving Elections: Election Violence, Incumbent Victory, and Post-Election Repercussions, with Emilie M. Hafner-Burton and Ryan S. Jablonski. British Journal of Political Science 48:2 (2018): 459–488.
- Does Fraud Trump Partisanship? The Impact of Contentious Elections on Voter Confidence, with Elizabeth Iams Wellman and Thad E. Hall. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties 28:3 (2018): 330–348.
- Experiments in International Relations: Lab, Survey, and Field. Annual Review of Political Science 18 (2015): 403–424.
- Information and Self-Enforcing Democracy: The Role of International Election Observation, with Nikolay Marinov. International Organization 68:2 (2014): 329–359.
- When Do Governments Resort to Election Violence?, with Emilie M. Hafner-Burton and Ryan S. Jablonski. British Journal of Political Science 44:1 (2014): 149–179.
- Which Elections Can Be Lost?, with Nikolay Marinov. Political Analysis 20:2 (2012): 191–210.
- Catch Us If You Can: Election Monitoring and International Norm Diffusion. American Journal of Political Science 55:2 (2011): 356–369.
- International Scrutiny and Pre-Electoral Fiscal Manipulation in Developing Countries, with Angela O'Mahony. Journal of Politics 72 (2010): 690–704.
- Experimenting in Democracy Promotion: International Observers and the 2004 Presidential Elections in Indonesia. Perspectives on Politics 8 (2010): 511–527.
- The Future of Field Experiments in International Relations. The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 628:1 (2010): 72–84.
- In the Shadow of Democracy Promotion: Strategic Manipulation, International Observers, and Election Boycotts, with Emily Beaulieu. Comparative Political Studies 42:3 (2009): 392–415.
- The Observer Effect in International Politics: Evidence from a Natural Experiment. World Politics 60:1 (2007): 37–63.
Chapters
- International Election Observation, with Tendai S. Mbanje, in Holly Ann Garnett and Toby S. James, eds., The Oxford Handbook of Electoral Integrity, 2025.
- Conducting Research with NGOs: Relevant Counterfactuals from the Perspective of Subjects, with David W. Nickerson, in Scott Desposato, ed., Ethics and Experiments, Routledge, 2016.
- Election Administration, Election Observation, and Election Quality, with Kevin Pallister, in Routledge Handbook of Comparative Political Institutions, 2015.
- Why Believe International Election Monitors?, in Peter A. Gourevitch, David A. Lake, and Janice Gross Stein, eds., The Credibility of Transnational NGOs: When Virtue is Not Enough, Cambridge University Press, 2012.
- Conflict, Elections, and International Pressure, in Peace and Conflict 2012, Routledge, 2012.
- International Dimensions of Elections, in Nathan J. Brown, ed., The Dynamics of Democratization: Dictatorship, Development, and Diffusion, Johns Hopkins University Press, 2011.
- How International Election Observers Detect and Deter Election Fraud, in R. Michael Alvarez, Thad E. Hall, and Susan D. Hyde, eds., Election Fraud: Detecting and Deterring Electoral Manipulation, Brookings Institution Press, 2008.
Book Reviews
- Power, Patronage and International Norms: A Grand Masquerade, by Valerie Freeland. Political Science Quarterly (2026).
- Review of The Hidden Costs of Clean Election Reform, by Frederic Charles Schaffer. Perspectives on Politics 10:2 (2012): 532–534.
- Voter Fraud in the United States: Real or Imagined? Election Law Journal 10:3 (2011): 319–321.
Other Publications and Essays
- Follow the Leader, with Elizabeth N. Saunders. Journal of Democracy 33:4 (2022): 164–168.
- Trump Didn't Break Our Democracy. But Did He Fatally Weaken It? (opinion), with Elizabeth N. Saunders. The New York Times, December 15, 2020.
- How Trump's Destructive Behavior Emboldens Authoritarian Leaders Abroad. Los Angeles Times, November 23, 2020.
- The Unsubtle Art of Real Election Fraud. The Wall Street Journal, November 2020.
- The U.S. Election Is Over. What Did International Observers Think? The Monkey Cage, The Washington Post, November 2020.
- Reflections on Challenges in Cumulative Learning from the Metaketa Initiative, with Thad Dunning, Guy Grossman, Macartan Humphreys, and Craig McIntosh. The Political Economist, 2018.
- The Power to Condemn Elections? The Monkey Cage, The Washington Post, May 2014.
- Replicate It! A Proposal to Improve the Study of Political Accountability, with Thad Dunning. The Monkey Cage, The Washington Post, May 2014.
- What Makes Some Elections Violent?, with Emilie M. Hafner-Burton. The Monkey Cage, The Washington Post, January 2014.
- Making Elections – and Democracy – Work in Practice. APSA Representation and Electoral Systems Section Newsletter 29:1 (2013).
- The Limits of Election Monitoring, with Judith G. Kelley. Foreign Affairs, June 2011.
- Anybody's Luck? Natural Experiments in Democratization. Comparative Democratization Newsletter 9:3 (2011): 9–10.
